Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 397.394761 450.451883 509.037134 578.707550 659.537410 750.638277 861.478671
2026-02-01 324.254154 395.838620 481.914331 593.808216 736.535461 913.991971 1153.653386
2026-02-08 277.591592 355.787866 455.280716 592.641920 779.692121 1028.894888 1391.743629
2026-02-15 242.968439 323.603551 430.908276 586.415286 809.795323 1124.962904 1613.969476
2026-02-22 219.958097 302.796243 417.397320 590.681651 851.667440 1239.353304 1876.786218
2026-03-01 197.541432 279.640809 397.030934 581.123523 870.018978 1319.016653 2096.382203
2026-03-08 180.332876 261.798224 381.820075 576.424087 893.629188 1407.881933 2342.777672
2026-03-15 161.518718 239.524495 357.399043 554.042011 885.217682 1442.184450 2499.158111
2026-03-22 154.422354 234.311675 358.389522 571.910723 944.668992 1597.626315 2897.977081
2026-03-29 149.169976 231.360377 362.419457 594.837706 1015.072284 1781.345981 3382.585849
2026-04-05 140.236669 221.599918 354.290813 595.765019 1045.850763 1895.878652 3749.368705
2026-04-12 129.721717 208.315089 339.012201 582.282338 1047.985681 1955.271235 4010.370845
2026-04-19 120.340525 196.366261 325.271029 570.683318 1053.298268 2023.666511 4309.117170
2026-04-26 116.054467 192.816946 325.857973 585.733571 1112.783873 2211.810661 4920.884476
2026-05-03 109.748383 185.187791 318.433614 584.574955 1139.063713 2333.015934 5397.895403
2026-05-10 103.341155 176.868699 309.014344 578.445936 1154.009586 2431.134006 5837.647464
2026-05-17 98.875720 171.719476 305.008878 582.645798 1191.452876 2585.758274 6459.621408
2026-05-24 93.083308 163.690043 294.886943 573.236491 1197.570034 2667.381841 6900.133650
2026-05-31 88.342289 157.298603 287.412563 568.610094 1213.904966 2776.218732 7443.956542
2026-06-07 82.008423 147.456727 272.455463 546.574683 1187.155685 2773.197489 7654.538973
2026-06-14 80.458485 146.735775 275.563149 564.166796 1256.805742 3029.424532 8731.642477
2026-06-21 79.462698 147.015541 280.688032 586.737036 1341.632542 3340.938969 10077.332309
2026-06-28 76.384463 142.933916 276.498253 587.649877 1372.156187 3508.170165 10982.368237